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• The Pope will host a consistory to create 21 new cardinals later this year. The College of Cardinals currently consists of 208 Cardinals, of whom 117 are electors. As of August 27, that number will grow to 229 Cardinals, of whom 131 will be electors for a new Pope. It is widely believed the Pope is looking to ensure any successor reflects his position on key issues.

 

Given the origins of the new cardinals – as well as the changing demographics of the Catholic Church – speculation is mounting that the next Pope may not be of European origin at all (Pope Francis is Italian-Argentine). As Newsweek recently pointed out, “bookmakers predict a Black or Asian cardinal could succeed” the Holy Father. According to Newsweek: “Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle (pictured above) from the Philippines has been given 5/1 odds of being elected the next pope by British bookmakers OLBG. Also highly favored to replace Francis is Ghanaian Cardinal Peter Turkson, who has been given odds of 6/1.”

 

As Newsweek reported, Cardinal Tagle “is viewed as a top papal contender thanks to a series of promotions that make Francis’ esteem for him clear.” Called the “Asian Francis”, he was appointed by Pope Francis to lead the Congregation for the Evangelization of Peoples, which oversees the Church in Asia, Africa and other mission territories, in 2019.

 

 

While the Church in Asia (and Christians more generally) usually finds itself as a community in the minority (the Philippines being an exception), it is also flourishing. In the West, by contrast, Christianity and Catholicism is often a majority faith in name only (countries like Poland notwithstanding). What then for the future? Perhaps a major change will not come anytime soon, but – unless current trends change dramatically – it seems likely that a new Pope will one day be chosen to reflect the changing face of the worldwide Church.

 

How would this be squared with the stance of countries like Hungary and Poland, which associate Catholicism with ‘European civilization’. It could be a critical balancing act, and one Catholics can only hope the Church is up to.